As many fans in the UK focus on their clubs' early-season fortunes or debate forthcoming fall test matches, the contest for World Cup 2027 qualifying rages on at full pace.
Chile secured their second consecutive appearance at the tournament with a sensational playoff victory over Samoa last month, leaving only a single remaining spot to be claimed for the host nation by 2027. At the same time, the Paraguayan side stunned Brazil by twenty points in the first leg of their qualifying series.
The return match is scheduled this Saturday in Jacareí, close to São Paulo, as Brazil's men's team aims to emulate their women's success and qualify for the first time.
Whether Paraguay completes a shock overall victory, or Brazil recovers following head coach Emiliano Caffera's departure, the lineup for next month's qualifying event in Dubai will then be finalized. Namibia, Belgium, and the Samoan side have already secured spots for the Dubai-based competition from November 8th to 18th.
Several additional teams have likewise earned their spots. The Hong Kong China team achieved maiden World Cup entry following defeating Korea by a large margin in the summer, and Zimbabwe will make a comeback to rugby union's premier tournament for the first occasion since 1991 by virtue of claiming victory in the African championship.
The consequence of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will face Italy for the first occasion in November during the fall test series, taking the place of Samoa who must participate in the Dubai tournament.
World Rugby's chief executive called Chile an "exciting and rapidly rising force" in announcing the upcoming match in Genoa. While domestic rugby promotional efforts aim for larger crowds, rugby in Chile is buoyant. A sell-out audience of more than twenty thousand witnessed the qualifying win in Viña del Mar, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has led the team on an improving path since taking over in 2018.
The fifty-year-old ex- Uruguayan prop has been influencing the game for many years: signed by Bristol in the late 90s, he famously broke through England defensive line to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as national coach has been similarly powerful: Chile have risen to seventeenth place, their highest-ever position. During the previous tournament in France, they were beaten four times, allowing over two hundred points and scoring 27, featuring a heavy loss to England.
However, they confidently took the positives, and after the 2027 draw in Sydney on December 3rd, the coach can begin planning seriously. They hosted the Scottish team last year, defeated 52-11 in front of twenty-four thousand fans, and although they were defeated across both matches by the Uruguayan side in the initial 2027 playoff, they managed a 21-18 away victory in Montevideo.
Samoa, in contrast, have participated in all Rugby World Cup since 1991, but are currently languishing in 16th position in the men's rankings. They were without a victory in this year's Pacific Nations Cup, leading to playoff misery versus Chile, and the need to face nations such as Belgium brings further difficulty for the rugby-loving country.
Beyond individual nations' fortunes, it is important to consider how changed the expanded competition will appear in 2027. For the first occasion, there will be a round of 16 with six pools of four teams rather than four pools of five. Group phase jeopardy is significantly reduced because the top four third-placed teams will additionally advance.
The hosts, the Australian team, are currently placed seventh in the world, meaning they would miss out on top seeding and could meet one of the Springboks, New Zealand, the Irish, France, England, or the Pumas in their group. They could climb into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, however: the English team, Italy, Ireland, and France are their opponents, with a match against the Japanese team in Tokyo additionally scheduled for 25 October.
The Welsh team, on the other hand, are teetering in twelfth place, with Japan behind, and the consequences of falling to thirteenth and into the third seeding group are potentially severe.
An additional fresh aspect for the next World Cup is the participation of five nations from the American continent: Argentina, the Uruguayan side, the United States, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with Paraguay or Brazil possibly becoming the sixth. From the governing body's perspective, engagement from the Americas is positive, especially with the 2031 tournament scheduled to be hosted by the United States, and the selection process for the 2035 edition was initiated recently.
For now, however. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay sets up a four-way qualifying contest, along with a potential standings change across the European nations in November. Regardless of how things pan out, Chile's qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has already established them as a clear triumphant example.